Global Health Foresighting

The health of human civilization and the state of the biospheric systems on which it depends, are intimately linked. This planetary system is now very tightly coupled, with both enormous information content and potential for novelty, albeit with declining resilience. Can we have the foresight to transform our present actions and value choices not only to anticipate future global health scenarios, but more explicitly to create the “future we want”?

Traditional reactive approaches to anticipating and planning for the future typically use a scenario planning strategy that is driven by data, trend analysis and expert opinion. Rather than simply reacting, the objective of global health foresighting is acting imaginatively and intentionally toward the “Global Health We Want,” employing a transdisciplinary approach informed by intentional design and transformative scenario planning.

Current Projects

Antimicrobial Resistance

Prof. Steven Hoffman, Global Strategy Lab

Global Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a major and growing challenge of the global commons. We are exploring establishing a WHO Collaborating Centre on AMR, that would focus on global governance strategies.

Global Regulatory Frameworks for Online Pharmacies

Aria Ilyad Ahmad, PhD Candidate, Global Health Foresighting Fellow

The internet has disrupted practices in the dispensing & trade of pharmaceuticals, enabling greater access while also exacerbating or creating risks. This project led the drafting of the Brussels Principles on the Sale of Medicines over the Internetand convenes stakeholders, including the Canadian Internet Pharmacy Association &, to establish model legislation in the regulation of online pharmacies, including the .pharmacy domain.

Global Governance of Medicine Quality

Aria Ilyad Ahmad, PhD Candidate, Global Health Foresighting Fellow

Substandard & falsified medical products pose a threat to patient & population health and undermines the success of the Sustainable Development Goals. This project examines the public health & socioeconomic impacts of these products and analyzes data from the WHO Global Surveillance & Monitoring System which captures, for the first time, global reporting on substandard and falsified medical products.

Blockchain Technologies in Global Health

Aria Ilyad Ahmad, PhD Candidate, Global Health Foresighting Fellow

Blockchain technologies offer tremendous opportunities to build secure & transparent mechanisms in global health. This project convenes a coalition of research & implementation actors to explore the feasibility & appropriateness of distributed ledger technology in pharmaceutical supply chain management, including its ethical, governance & oversight implications.

Alternative Finance Mechanisms for Global Health

Aria Ilyad Ahmad, PhD Candidate, Global Health Foresighting Fellow

Impact bonds are an emerging financing model aimed at unlocking greater impact in health and social programs. This project establishes the Working Group on Alternative Finance Mechanisms for Global Health. It will cconvene a workshop on impact bonds and blended finance instruments to fund treatment, prevention and adaptation interventions that address the health impacts of climate change.

Use of Blockchain to Ensure Verification of Carbon Trading in the Paris Agreement

Joseph Pallant MBA, Community Scholar, Global Health Foresighting

Using blockchain technology to connect the National Carbon Accounts of all countries in the world, this project enables cross-border collaboration on investment in emissions reductions. Building on the public blockchain greatly improves accessibility, transparency and ease of use - democratizing this critical aspect of the future economy.

Viability of a Humanitarian Tax on the International Arms Trade

Rhonda Ferguson, PhD., Research Associate, Global Humanitarian Security Tax Advisor

Drawing on conceptions of global justice, economic models & international legal & humanitarian norms, this project considers if an international arms trade taxation scheme could finance humanitarian responses & reduce the volume of arms transfers. With the Jack & Mae Nathanson Centre on Transnational Human Rights, Crime & Security.